Biden will try to foster good relations with ASEAN nations so as to contain the rise of China. As Biden’s sole policy is “to lead the world and not retreat from it” as such he and his team will try to maintain America’s status quo. Biden holds the view that China has its own domestic problem and as such it cannot be a competition to the US.
The US under Joe Biden will definitely continue to formulate its policies on South East Asia centred around China. With economically and militarily rising China as the elephant in the Asian bloc, the South East Asian nations would like to preserve their independence. With China as the next big hegemon, the ASEAN countries would like to optimize the benefits by maintaining relation with both the US and China. However, the growing intense geopolitical rivalry between US and China would make it difficult for the ASEAN countries to maintain its balancing act, which is certainly a difficult task in days to come.
The George Floyd’s tragic chokehold-death in the hands of law authorities has not only propelled the famous Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement across the U.S. but also exposed America’s untreated old wounds of complicated race relations. This has resulted in a polarized American politics marked by debates on the racialization process, racial prejudice, police defund, police reform, and how the two primary mainstream parties fair when it comes to policies for genuine upliftment of the African-American community.
India and Australia are part of this emerging axis in the Indo-Pacific which includes countries of the Indo-Pacific littoral, France, Japan and the United States, which can now be seen as moving towards a common geopolitical and geo-economic agenda.
Recently, the Taliban leaders in their conversation with the US officials advised them that the Afghan issue could not be solved militarily and hence America should focus on a “peaceful strategy for Afghanistan instead of war.” But the US knew that the Taliban had in a way demonstrated their resilience and the powerful American and NATO forces had not succeeded in their war efforts.
In Persian there is a saying, “sometimes a harsh thing happens for a larger good”. Although COVID-19 is a global health crisis, its potential in ushering new opportunities cannot be underestimated. However, it is only a fragment of the impending major man-made crises that are still to unfold.
Southeast Asian countries need to reinforce institutions capable of resolving political issues so that they do not have to depend on anti-democratic, archaic establishments to resolve conflicts.
It is imperative for both Kyrgyzstan and the external powers including Russia and China to resolve the political deadlock in the country so that they can expect a peaceful and stable neighbourhood. The Corona crisis coupled with the Nagorno Karabakh conflict has made matters really volatile for Central Asia.
Joe Biden’s prudence in foreign policy and his views make him an “internationalist’’ who as the next President of the United States with a team of shrewd professionals would reject protectionism and isolationism and make endeavours to make America able to “lead again.”
If Indian analysis is proven correct, there will be a costly “White Elephant” administered by China in the Gulf of Thailand. If China’s goal of constructing an alternative maritime trade route and resolving the “Malacca Dilemma” succeeds, it will be the expansion of the “Dragon’s Web” in the region.